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27.03.2017 - Joleen (http://mklr.pl/user/oczysza)
By Gavin Jones

ROME, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Opinion polls are making increasingly grim reading for Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi less than three weeks ahead of a referendum on constitutional reform on which he has staked his political future.

Of 32 polls published by 11 different pollsters since Oct. 21, every one has the 'No' camp ahead, and generally by a widening margin.

In three polls published on Monday the lead for 'No' ranged from five points, according to IPR Marketing, to seven points, according to Tecne, with EMG Acqua in the middle at 6 points.

These results exclude undecided voters, which are estimated at 25.9 percent by EMG Acqua and 16.5 percent by Tecne. The most worrying aspect for Renzi is that as the number of undecided voters declines, the lead for 'No' appears to be rising.

Bookmakers also hold out little hope for the 41-year-old premier, with Ladbrokes estimating a roughly 75 percent probability of a win for 'No.'

The surveys are so one-way that attention is turning to what Renzi will do if he loses the vote on his plan to drastically reduce the role of the upper house Senate and take powers back from regional governments.

At the start of the campaign he repeatedly said he would resign in the case of defeat.

He then declined to confirm that, saying discussion of his own future deflected attention from the merits of the reform, but in the last few days he has once more began hinting that he will not try to hang on in power if he loses.

However, most pollsters continue to say the outcome of the Dec. 4. ballot remains uncertain.

They point out that opinion polls already proved notoriously wrong in the June referendum in which Britons chose to leave the European Union and most recently when Americans elected republican Donald Trump to the presidency on Nov. 8.



REASONS FOR CAUTION

Moreover, in Italy's case there are some specific reasons for caution.

One is that the polls show that the 'No' vote is strongest in the south of the country, where turnout is normally lowest.

"It may be that a significant number of those in the south who say they are going to vote 'No' will end up staying at home," said Federico Benini, head of the Winpoll agency.

Some 4.2 million Italian ex-pats who are eligible to vote but are not included in opinion polls could also come to Renzi's rescue.

Benini forecast that of those that cast a ballot, up to 80 percent will back 'Yes' because they follow Italian politics less closely, tend to be less anti-Renzi and see it as broadly positive that the country is trying to reform.

However, he also said he expected only about 30 percent of Italians abroad to vote, meaning they will only be vital if 'Yes' is less than one point behind among domestic voters.

Another factor that could save Renzi is the wording of the question on the ballot sheet, which has been the subject of bitter dispute and legal cases because it mentions the more popular aspects of the reform but not the less positive ones.

Pollster Nicola Piepoli said as many as 8 percent of voter with little interest in politics could head to the polling stations without having previously made up their minds, and these may be swayed by what is written on the ballot sheet.

Pollster Renato Mannheimer said it was too soon to say whether Trump's surprise election will affect Italian voters.

However, six out of seven polls published since the U.S. election have shown the 'No' lead widening compared with the previous survey by the same pollster.

Moreover, in a Winpoll survey published on Saturday, 52 percent of Italians said they believed Trump's victory would favour 'No', compared with 42 percent who thought it would have no impact, and just 6 percent who said it would help 'Yes'.

The final polls will be issued on Friday, as Italian law prohibits their publication in the 15 days before an election or referendum. (Reporting By Gavin Jones; Editing by Richard Balmfor

27.03.2017 - Noreen (http://www.esport-staff.com/user/2810/jammnik.html)
By Jeffrey Dastin

Nov 15 (Reuters) - United Continental Holdings Inc took a leaf out of its low-cost competitors' playbook on Tuesday by unveiling a new low fare that limits customers to one carry-on bag that fits under a seat, part of a broader plan to boost profit over the next four years.

Chicago-based United is the first major U.S. carrier to make such a move for carry-ons, which it hopes will attract some new customers and push some of its regular flyers toward higher fares.

Combined with better flight connections and revamped pricing algorithms, the airline said at its investor day that it aims to add $4.8 billion to yearly operating income by 2020, excluding the effect of rising wages.

The new fare class, known as 'Basic Economy,' risks frustrating flyers who already feel burdened with airline travel restrictions and fees, but could push some customers - especially those with large luggage - toward higher-priced fares.

The No. 3 U.S. airline by passenger traffic will begin selling the no-frills fares in the first quarter of 2017 for travel starting in the second quarter. Prices will be comparable to low fares it now charges for the economy cabin, but with more restrictions.

United said Basic Economy customers would not be assigned seats until the day of departure, meaning people on the same ticket may be split apart.

"Flights do run pretty full today. You're probably going to get a middle seat," United's President Scott Kirby said in an interview.



CARRY-ON SCRAMBLE

Survey data indicated travelers and employees do not like scrambling to stow carry-ons when overhead bin space is limited, Kirby said. United believes the new fare creates more options for customers, and should not provoke a backlash.

Charlie Leocha, chairman of consumer advocacy group Travelers United, took a different view.

"This action clearly shows how airline consolidation is eliminating choice," he said in an email. A single carrier's decision now means more customers are impacted.

Those who book Basic Economy on United will be barred from carrying on bags that can only fit in overhead bins, and they will not accrue miles toward elite status.

Fare initiatives will account for $1 billion of United's income target, as more customers pay to check bags or select higher fares that give them two "free" carry-ons. And airlines still have ample room to invent fare packages they can sell to customers, Kirby said.

"It is ridiculous that we will sell a seat for $49 and a seat next to it for $800, and we treat them exactly the same, just because they book later in the process. There's no other industry in the world I can think of that does something like that," he said.

United shares closed up nearly 5 percent. Part of the rise may be from billionaire Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc , which disclosed stakes in four U.S. airlines including United on Monday, boosting investor confidence in the sector.



LOW-COST RIVALS

United's announcement follows a similar decision by Delta Air Lines Inc in 2014 to sell more tickets that are cheap but prohibit itinerary changes and seat selection.

Delta and United are hoping to lure customers away from low-cost carriers with competitive prices and upsell them once they reveal the conditions of the ticket.

The practice of marketing cheap tickets that become expensive once add-ons like carry-on bags are included had helped companies like Spirit Airlines Inc and Frontier Airlines undercut their bigger rivals, until the likes of Delta borrowed from their playbook.

Frontier was lowest for customer satisfaction in J.D. Power's North American airline survey in 2016. Spirit was not included in the survey.

United's latest move appears to be the most restrictive yet for a large airline's basic economy fare, said Bob Mann, an airline industry analyst at R.W. Mann & Co.

Mann said United still had some way to go before it

24.03.2017 - Lucretia (http://www.porostwlosow24.pl/)
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